UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
19%
Silva
81%
Dober
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
Dober is a strong favourite at 81% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Dober throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dober has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Dober
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
70"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Dober
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
59.9
37.9
Performance Avg
53.2
35
Quality of Victory
50
30
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Dober
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Dober
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Dober
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
27/44 fights
Silva
Dober
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Dober
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
11
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Dober
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
SilvaDober
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDober
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the body (60% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Dober targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Dober
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
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L · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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