UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Shenzhen, China
31 Aug 2019
Flyweight
VS
80%
Kara-France
20%
Rosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kara-France
Kara-France is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kara-France has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Kara-France's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kara-France
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
69"+
Reach
65"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kara-France
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.5
13.0
47.5
Performance Avg
33.8
38
Quality of Victory
37
80
Momentum Score
33
Kara-France
Rosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
31%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
15
8
Body
3
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
37Distance19
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Kara-France
Rosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kara-France
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/37 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Kara-France
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Kara-France
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kara-France
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Kara-FranceRosa
Strike Zones
Kara-France
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedRosa
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kara-France targets the head (56% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kara-France absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kara-France
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kara-France · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Kara-France · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 4Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Steve ErcegRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Amir AlbaziRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · KO · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Askar AskarovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jordan EspinosaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Raulian PaivaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kara-FranceRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Alex PerezRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11