UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Ankalaev
36%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
Ankalaev holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Rakic throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ankalaev
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
37.5
59.9
Performance Avg
43.8
43
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
25
Ankalaev
Rakic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
59%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
7
Body
3
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance10
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Ankalaev
Rakic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Ankalaev
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
AnkalaevRakic
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRakic
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the body (54% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rakic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny WalkerUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Rakic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03