METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Oct 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
64%
Ankalaev
36%
Rakic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Magomed AnkalaevwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Aleksandar Rakic · UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ankalaev
→
Actual result
Ankalaev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ankalaev holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Rakic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rakic has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AnkalaevRakic
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ankalaev
Rakic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+78"
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Rakic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.7
38.3
60.6
Performance Avg
44.3
43
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
30
Ankalaev
Rakic
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.1
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
3.8
5.4
Style: Volume
6.9
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
7
Body
3
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
8Distance10
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Ankalaev
Rakic
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Rakic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Ankalaev
Rakic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
W · KO · R5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R3
Ankalaev
Rakic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
29%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Rakic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
AnkalaevRakic
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRakic
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the body (54% of attacks) — Rakic absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Rakic targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Rakic
0/0R00/0
Ankalaev · Last 5
W · KO · R5
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraKO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Rakic · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R3
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05