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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night 5
Las Vegas, USA
28 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Lambert
50%
Hinkle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 5:00
JL
Jason Lambert
"The Punisher"
2613
6'3"75" reachOrthodox51 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
BL
Branden Lee Hinkle
"The Iron Lion"
1711
Knockout Artist2-fight slide52 yrsOrthodox6'3"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Jason LambertwinsKO/TKOR1 · 5:00
def. Branden Lee Hinkle · UFC Fight Night 5

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lambert
Actual result
Lambert wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Lambert at 50% vs Hinkle at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hinkle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lambert's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hinkle has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LambertHinkle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Lambert
Hinkle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
75"
Reach
51+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lambert
Hinkle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
19.5
53.6
Performance Avg
49.3
56
Quality of Victory
60
59
Momentum Score
52
Lambert
Hinkle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
4.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
69%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
0
9
Body
3
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance0
8Clinch4
36Ground0
Lambert
Hinkle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lambert
Hinkle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
3/28 fights
Lambert
Hinkle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Lambert
Hinkle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lambert
Hinkle
Striking8.5 / 10.0Volume1.0 / 0.7Grappling2.0 / 0.0Wrestling1.4 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure8.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Lambert
Strike Zones
Hinkle
Lambert
Attacking
31HEAD9BODY4LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Hinkle
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD9BODY4LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lambert targets the head (70% of attacks) — Hinkle absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Hinkle targets the body (75% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lambert
RND
Hinkle
0/0R00/0

Lambert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W5.2W5.0W2.8L5.2W2.8L1.5L2.8L2006-032006-062007-032008-062008-09
WinLossTrend

Hinkle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.7
0105.0W1.5L1.5L2005-102006-022006-06
WinLossTrend

Lambert · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09

Hinkle · Last 3

L · KO · R1
Jason LambertRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
L · Sub · R1
Jeff MonsonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · KO · R1
Sean GannonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10

News & Media

Jason Lambert · Branden Lee Hinkle
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