METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Welterweight
VS
67%
Hughes
33%
Castillo
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Matt HugheswinsR1 · 5:00
def. Gil Castillo · UFC 40: Vendetta
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
Pre-fight analysis
Hughes holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Castillo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HughesCastillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hughes
Castillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
52+
Age
60
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Hughes
Castillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
11.3
64.6
Performance Avg
28.3
60
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
33
Hughes
Castillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
1.0
3.7
Style: Volume
8.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
1
6
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Hughes
Castillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hughes
Castillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
96
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Hughes
Castillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Hughes
Castillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hughes
Castillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
HughesCastillo
Strike Zones
Hughes
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCastillo
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (64% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Castillo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hughes
RND
Castillo
0/0R00/0
Hughes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckKO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaSubmission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieKO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
Castillo · Last 3
L · R1
Matt HughesUFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
W · Dec · R3
Chris BrennanDecision
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Dec · R5
Dave MenneDecision
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09