★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 100
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jul 2009
Welterweight
VS
60%
St-Pierre
40%
Alves
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: St-Pierre
St-Pierre holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Alves has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Alves throws more volume but St-Pierre connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
St-Pierre's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
St-Pierre
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
70"
45
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
St-Pierre
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.6
16.5
67.2
Performance Avg
47.3
51
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
63
St-Pierre
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.6
57%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
St-Pierre
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
St-Pierre
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
6
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
13 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/28 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
St-Pierre
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
63
13-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
St-Pierre
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
53%
5
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
St-Pierre
Alves
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
St-PierreAlves
Strike Zones
St-Pierre
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedAlves
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯St-Pierre targets the head (63% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the head (50% of attacks) — St-Pierre absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
St-Pierre
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
St-Pierre · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
St-Pierre · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.2Submission
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
W · Dec · R5
Johny HendricksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Dec · R5
Nick DiazRating 4.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
W · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 4.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Jake ShieldsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02