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UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Women's Featherweight
VS
42%
Zingano
58%
Anderson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:01
CZ
Cat Zingano
"Alpha"
104
5'6"68" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 18
MA
Megan Anderson
115
Knockout Artist36 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 25
★ Official Result
Megan AndersonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:01
def. Cat Zingano · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Anderson
Actual result
Anderson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Zingano at 42% vs Anderson at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Anderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Anderson throws more volume but Zingano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Zingano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ZinganoAnderson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Zingano
Anderson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
+72"
44
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Zingano
Anderson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
24.6
49.1
Performance Avg
62.8
53
Quality of Victory
71
43
Momentum Score
78
Zingano
Anderson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
61%
Strike Accuracy
48%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Zingano
Anderson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
1.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zingano
Anderson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
74
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Zingano
Anderson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
78
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Zingano
Anderson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zingano
Anderson
Striking7.5 / 7.7Volume3.5 / 1.0Grappling0.8 / 2.7Wrestling0.6 / 1.9Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure6.0 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Zingano
Strike Zones
Anderson
Zingano
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY3LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Anderson
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY3LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zingano targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anderson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Zingano absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zingano
RND
Anderson
0/0R00/0

Zingano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.4W6.7W1.5L7.0L5.9L4.5W1.5L2013-042015-022018-032018-12
WinLossTrend

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.6L5.0W1.8L5.0W5.5W2.7L2018-062018-122019-052019-102020-022021-03
WinLossTrend

Zingano · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Ronda RouseyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02

Anderson · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Amanda NunesRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · KO · R1
Norma DumontRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · Sub · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5
Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10
L · Sub · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · KO · R1
Cat ZinganoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12

News & Media

Cat Zingano · Megan Anderson
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