METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Welterweight
VS
44%
Rodriguez
56%
Garry
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:57
★ Official Result
Ian Machado GarrywinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:57
def. Daniel Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garry
→
Actual result
Garry wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rodriguez at 44% vs Garry at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rodriguez's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RodriguezGarry
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rodriguez
Garry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
74"
39
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rodriguez
Garry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.4
62.9
48.8
Performance Avg
54.0
37
Quality of Victory
35
70
Momentum Score
100
Rodriguez
Garry
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
4.6
6.1
Style: Volume
7.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
19
2
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Rodriguez
Garry
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rodriguez
Garry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Rodriguez
Garry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
100
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Rodriguez
Garry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
30%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rodriguez
Garry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
RodriguezGarry
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedGarry
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rodriguez targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Garry targets the head (83% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rodriguez
RND
Garry
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rodriguez · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
Garry · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageDecision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06