UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama
Las Vegas, USA
1 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
59%
Wells
41%
Gorimbo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wells
This is a genuine toss-up — Wells at 59% vs Gorimbo at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wells has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Gorimbo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Wells
Gorimbo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Wells
Gorimbo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
43.6
54.9
Performance Avg
40.2
44
Quality of Victory
34
84
Momentum Score
53
Wells
Gorimbo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
3
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Wells
Gorimbo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wells
Gorimbo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Wells
Gorimbo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
53
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wells
Gorimbo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wells
Gorimbo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
WellsGorimbo
Strike Zones
Wells
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedGorimbo
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wells targets the head (76% of attacks) — Gorimbo absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Gorimbo targets the body (50% of attacks) — Wells absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wells
RND
Gorimbo
0/0R00/0
Wells · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gorimbo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Wells · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
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Gorimbo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
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