UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
54%
Dunham
46%
Damm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
ED
Evan Dunham
189
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
RD
Rodrigo Damm
139
Well-Rounded3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dunham

This is a genuine toss-up — Dunham at 54% vs Damm at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Damm connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Dunham's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Dunham
Damm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
44+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dunham
Damm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
13.8
40.1
Performance Avg
37.9
30
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
35
Dunham
Damm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
19
9
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
57Distance24
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Dunham
Damm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dunham
Damm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Dunham
Damm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dunham
Damm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dunham
Damm
Striking2.0 / 0.9Volume6.9 / 6.2Grappling2.5 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.9 / 3.3Pressure2.9 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Dunham
Strike Zones
Damm
Dunham
Attacking
50HEAD9BODY0LEGS59 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Damm
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
50HEAD9BODY0LEGS59 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dunham targets the head (85% of attacks) — Damm absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Damm targets the head (79% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dunham
RND
Damm
0/0R00/0

Dunham · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.2W5.5L4.5W5.7L2.8L2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.6W1.5L2.8L1.9L2009-022011-012013-052015-122020-06
WinLossTrend

Damm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.0L5.5L2012-062013-062014-052015-01
WinLossTrend

Dunham · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil Dariush
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09

Damm · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · KO · R3
Al IaquintaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Rashid MagomedovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Ivan JorgeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

News & Media

Evan Dunham · Rodrigo Damm
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