UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jan 2015
Lightweight
VS
54%
Dunham
46%
Damm
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dunham
This is a genuine toss-up — Dunham at 54% vs Damm at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Damm connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Dunham's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham
Damm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
+71"
44+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dunham
Damm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
13.8
40.1
Performance Avg
37.9
30
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
35
Dunham
Damm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.6
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
50
Head
19
9
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
57Distance24
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Dunham
Damm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dunham
Damm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Dunham
Damm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Dunham
Damm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
18%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dunham
Damm
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
DunhamDamm
Strike Zones
Dunham
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedDamm
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dunham targets the head (85% of attacks) — Damm absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Damm targets the head (79% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dunham
RND
Damm
0/0R00/0
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Damm · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
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Damm · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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