★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion
Lake Charles, USA
24 Sept 1999
Light Heavyweight
VS
61%
Shamrock
39%
Ortiz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 4:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shamrock
Shamrock holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Ortiz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shamrock has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Shamrock has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Shamrock
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
74"
53
Age
+51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shamrock
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
20.4
89.0
Performance Avg
57.3
82
Quality of Victory
57
100
Momentum Score
85
Shamrock
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
65%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
4
2
Body
0
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance0
3Clinch0
4Ground4
Shamrock
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
1.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shamrock
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/33 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Shamrock
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R4
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Shamrock
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
3
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shamrock
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
ShamrockOrtiz
Strike Zones
Shamrock
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shamrock targets the head (53% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shamrock absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shamrock
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
Shamrock · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Shamrock · Last 5
W · KO · R4
Tito OrtizRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC 22: Only One Can be Champion · 1999-09
W · Sub · R1
John LoberRating 5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Brazil · 1998-10
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy HornRating 5.2Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05
W · KO · R1
Igor ZinovievRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JacksonRating 5Submission
UFC - Ultimate Japan · 1997-12
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10