UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis
Las Vegas, USA
20 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
48%
Blaydes
52%
Lewis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:26
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
6'4"80" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Derrick
Derrick Lewis
"The Black Beast"
29 – 13
Knockout Artist41 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 59

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lewis

This is a genuine toss-up — Blaydes at 48% vs Lewis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lewis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Blaydes throws more volume but Lewis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Blaydes's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lewis has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Blaydes
Lewis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
80"+
Reach
79"
35+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blaydes
Lewis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.9
59.2
53.4
Performance Avg
57.5
42
Quality of Victory
53
81
Momentum Score
84
Blaydes
Lewis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
56%
6.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
16 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Blaydes
Lewis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blaydes
Lewis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
8
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.1 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/25 fights
Chin rating based on
32/42 fights
Blaydes
Lewis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
84
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Blaydes
Lewis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
16
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blaydes
Lewis
Striking6.4 / 9.3Volume4.8 / 2.9Grappling1.0 / 0.5Wrestling0.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.6 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Blaydes
Strike Zones
Lewis
Blaydes
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Lewis
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blaydes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lewis absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lewis targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blaydes
RND
Lewis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Blaydes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Lewis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W1.5L5.2W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.4W5.1W3.4L5.9W4.9W6.8W2.1L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.1W6.1W4.5L5.3W3.2L2.7L2.0L5.6W7.3L5.6W6.2W4.3L2014-042016-072019-032022-072026-01
WinLossTrend

Blaydes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

Lewis · Last 5

Upcoming
Josh Hokit
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R5
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11

News & Media

Curtis Blaydes · Derrick Lewis
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