METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 125: Resolution
Las Vegas, USA
1 Jan 2011
Featherweight
VS
97%
Poirier
3%
Grispi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Josh Grispi · UFC 125: Resolution
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 60 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Poirier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Grispi has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierGrispi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Grispi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Poirier
Grispi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
1.7
58.2
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Poirier
Grispi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
0.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance3
7Clinch1
0Ground1
Poirier
Grispi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Poirier
Grispi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
4/19 fights
Poirier
Grispi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Poirier
Grispi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Grispi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PoirierGrispi
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGrispi
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (79% of attacks) — Grispi absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Grispi targets the head (80% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Grispi
0/0R00/0
Poirier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Grispi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Grispi · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Andy OgleRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Rani YahyaRating 1.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · KO · R3
George RoopRating 4KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Dustin PoirierRating 6.8Decision
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01