METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Bantamweight
VS
35%
Lineker
65%
Kelleher
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:43
★ Official Result
John LinekerwinsKO/TKOR3 · 3:43
def. Brian Kelleher · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelleher
→
Actual result
Lineker wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kelleher holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Lineker has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Kelleher has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LinekerKelleher
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lineker
Kelleher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
66"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lineker
Kelleher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.8
40.8
56.0
Performance Avg
44.5
43
Quality of Victory
43
83
Momentum Score
61
Lineker
Kelleher
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.8
Style: Volume
3.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance14
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Lineker
Kelleher
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lineker
Kelleher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/40 fights
Lineker
Kelleher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
61
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lineker
Kelleher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
63%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lineker
Kelleher
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
LinekerKelleher
Strike Zones
Lineker
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedKelleher
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lineker targets the head (86% of attacks) — Kelleher absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Kelleher targets the head (93% of attacks) — Lineker absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lineker
RND
Kelleher
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lineker · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Brian KelleherKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Marlon VeraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · Dec · R5
John DodsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
Kelleher · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Cody GibsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Sub · R1
Umar NurmagomedovSubmission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin CroomDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01