UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
67%
Pellegrino
33%
Mohr
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pellegrino
Pellegrino holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mohr has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pellegrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Mohr has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mohr has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pellegrino
Mohr
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
+72"
47
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pellegrino
Mohr
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
9.1
50.1
Performance Avg
25.0
45
Quality of Victory
25
48
Momentum Score
28
Pellegrino
Mohr
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch3
4Ground2
Pellegrino
Mohr
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pellegrino
Mohr
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Pellegrino
Mohr
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pellegrino
Mohr
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pellegrino
Mohr
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PellegrinoMohr
Strike Zones
Pellegrino
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMohr
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pellegrino targets the head (75% of attacks) — Mohr absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Mohr targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pellegrino absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pellegrino
RND
Mohr
0/0R00/0
Pellegrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mohr · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Pellegrino · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gleison TibauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
George SotiropoulosRating 5.5Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R2
Fabricio CamoesRating 5.2Submission
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · Sub · R2
Rob EmersonRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02
Mohr · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Dennis SiverRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Manvel GamburyanRating 1.5Submission
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
W · Dec · R3
Luke CaudilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Sub · R1
Kurt PellegrinoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04