METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Featherweight
VS
31%
Brandao
69%
Elkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Diego Brandao · UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Brandao has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brandao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Brandao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrandaoElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brandao
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
64"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
44.7
53.4
Performance Avg
46.3
49
Quality of Victory
35
79
Momentum Score
66
Brandao
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground14
Brandao
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brandao
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Brandao
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
66
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brandao
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brandao
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BrandaoElkins
Strike Zones
Brandao
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedElkins
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brandao
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Brandao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Elkins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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