METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Featherweight
VS
31%
Brandao
69%
Elkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Diego Brandao · UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Brandao has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brandao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BrandaoElkins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Brandao
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
64"
Reach
+71"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
44.3
53.4
Performance Avg
45.5
49
Quality of Victory
35
79
Momentum Score
66
Brandao
Elkins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
4.4
3.9
Style: Volume
6.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground14
Brandao
Elkins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.6
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brandao
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
31/41 fights
Brandao
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
66
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Brandao
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brandao
Elkins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
BrandaoElkins
Strike Zones
Brandao
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedElkins
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brandao
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0
Brandao · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaSubmission
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L · KO · R1
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Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
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