UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Featherweight
VS
31%
Brandao
69%
Elkins
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DB
Diego Brandao
"DB"
22 – 11
5'7"64" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
Well-Rounded42 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elkins

Elkins holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Brandao has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brandao has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Brandao has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brandao's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elkins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Brandao
Elkins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
64"
Reach
+71"
38+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brandao
Elkins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.9
44.7
53.4
Performance Avg
46.3
49
Quality of Victory
35
79
Momentum Score
66
Brandao
Elkins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
38%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
11
0
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground14
Brandao
Elkins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brandao
Elkins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Brandao
Elkins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
66
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Brandao
Elkins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
37%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brandao
Elkins
Striking2.9 / 3.4Volume3.9 / 6.3Grappling3.5 / 2.8Wrestling2.4 / 1.9Submission3.3 / 1.6Pressure5.3 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.6
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Brandao
Strike Zones
Elkins
Brandao
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Elkins
Attacking
11HEAD6BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brandao targets the head (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Elkins targets the head (65% of attacks) — Brandao absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brandao
RND
Elkins
0/0R00/0

Brandao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.4W2.8L3.5L4.0W5.0W5.4L2011-122013-042014-072016-01
WinLossTrend

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Brandao · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09
W · R1
Jimy HettesRating 4
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Dustin PoirierRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

News & Media

Diego Brandao · Darren Elkins
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