UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Tafa
49%
Tokkos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:25
Junior
Junior Tafa
"The Juggernaut"
7 – 5
6'3"75" reachOrthodox29 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 51
Tuco
Tuco Tokkos
11 – 6
Submission Hunter35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'4"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tafa

This is a genuine toss-up — Tafa at 51% vs Tokkos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tafa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tafa's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tafa
Tokkos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+76"
29+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tafa
Tokkos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
49.2
50.0
Performance Avg
39.7
58
Quality of Victory
50
39
Momentum Score
43
Tafa
Tokkos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.6
59%
Strike Accuracy
39%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
4
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
2Clinch0
1Ground4
Tafa
Tokkos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tafa
Tokkos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Tafa
Tokkos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
43
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Tafa
Tokkos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tafa
Tokkos
Striking10.0 / 0.5Volume0.8 / 0.5Grappling0.0 / 8.0Wrestling0.0 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure8.1 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Tafa
Strike Zones
Tokkos
Tafa
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Tokkos
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tafa targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tokkos absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Tokkos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Tafa absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tafa
RND
Tokkos
0/0R00/0

Tafa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0106.5L5.0W3.4L3.4L5.2W3.5L4.3L5.0W2023-042024-022024-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Tokkos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.5L7.0L6.1W5.5L2024-052024-122025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Tafa · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 4.3
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Tuco TokkosRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Sean SharafRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

Tokkos · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Oumar SyRating 2.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

News & Media

Junior Tafa · Tuco Tokkos
← Back to fights