UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
Las Vegas, USA
22 Feb 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
67%
Cormier
33%
Cummins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cormier
Cormier holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Cummins has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cormier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Striking split: Cummins throws more volume but Cormier connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cormier
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cormier
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.9
12.7
68.1
Performance Avg
39.0
61
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
45
Cormier
Cummins
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
5
2
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance7
5Clinch1
9Ground0
Cormier
Cummins
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cormier
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Cormier
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R4
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cormier
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cormier
Cummins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
CormierCummins
Strike Zones
Cormier
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedCummins
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cormier targets the head (89% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the head (63% of attacks) — Cormier absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cormier
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cormier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Cummins · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Cormier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stipe MiocicRating 6.6Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R4
Stipe MiocicRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · Sub · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3Submission
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11
W · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
Cummins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04