METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Penne
48%
Ducote
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Emily DucotewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jessica Penne · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Penne
→
Actual result
Ducote wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 52% vs Ducote at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenneDucote
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penne
Ducote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'2"
67"+
Reach
63"
43
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Ducote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
33.4
34.1
Performance Avg
31.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
50
Penne
Ducote
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
1.2
6.0
Style: Volume
8.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
10
Body
8
0
Leg
25
RangeRange
20Distance44
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Penne
Ducote
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Ducote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Penne
Ducote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Penne
Ducote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Ducote
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
PenneDucote
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedDucote
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ducote absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ducote targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Ducote
0/0R00/0
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
Ducote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07