UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Women's Strawweight
VS
52%
Penne
48%
Ducote
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jessica
Jessica Penne
14 – 9
5'5"67" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Emily
Emily Ducote
"Gordinha"
13 – 9
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'2"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Penne

This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 52% vs Ducote at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ducote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penne
Ducote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'2"
67"+
Reach
63"
43
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Ducote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
33.4
34.1
Performance Avg
31.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
63
Momentum Score
50
Penne
Ducote
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.0
32%
Strike Accuracy
57%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
10
Body
8
0
Leg
25
RangeRange
20Distance44
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Penne
Ducote
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Ducote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Penne
Ducote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Penne
Ducote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penne
Ducote
Striking0.7 / 0.8Volume6.0 / 8.8Grappling4.3 / 2.4Wrestling3.0 / 1.7Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure3.3 / 1.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Penne
Strike Zones
Ducote
Penne
Attacking
10HEAD10BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD8BODY25LEGS44 absorbed
Ducote
Attacking
11HEAD8BODY25LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD10BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ducote absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ducote targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penne
RND
Ducote
0/0R00/0

Penne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L3.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L3.4L5.5L2014-122017-042022-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Ducote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.6W5.6L6.0L4.5W5.7L2022-072022-122023-052023-102024-05
WinLossTrend

Penne · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5
Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04

Ducote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Jessica PenneRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07

News & Media

Jessica Penne · Emily Ducote
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