★ Championship Bout · Road To 1 Lightweight Tournament
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2023
Road To 1 Lightweight Tournament
VS
41%
Saragih
59%
Jubli
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jubli
This is a genuine toss-up — Saragih at 41% vs Jubli at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jubli has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Jubli has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Saragih's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jubli has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Saragih
Jubli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
69"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Saragih
Jubli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
72.2
46.0
Performance Avg
73.3
60
Quality of Victory
100
43
Momentum Score
52
Saragih
Jubli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
74%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
27
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground28
Saragih
Jubli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Saragih
Jubli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/9 fights
Saragih
Jubli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Saragih
Jubli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saragih
Jubli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SaragihJubli
Strike Zones
Saragih
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedJubli
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saragih targets the body (100% of attacks) — Jubli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jubli targets the head (93% of attacks) — Saragih absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saragih
RND
Jubli
0/0R00/0
Saragih · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Jubli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Saragih · Last 4
L · KO · R1
JooSang YooRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Westin WilsonRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Lucas AlexanderRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Anshul JubliRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
Jubli · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · KO · R3
Mike BreedenRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · KO · R2
Jeka SaragihRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02