METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
23%
Zingano
77%
Nunes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:21
★ Official Result
Cat ZinganowinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:21
def. Amanda Nunes · UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nunes
→
Actual result
Zingano wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Nunes is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Nunes throws more volume but Zingano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Zingano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZinganoNunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zingano
Nunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+69"
44
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Zingano
Nunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
58.2
49.1
Performance Avg
75.2
53
Quality of Victory
66
43
Momentum Score
100
Zingano
Nunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.4
61%
Strike Accuracy
54%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
3Clinch0
13Ground0
Zingano
Nunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zingano
Nunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
15 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Zingano
Nunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Zingano
Nunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
63%
2
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zingano
Nunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
ZinganoNunes
Strike Zones
Zingano
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedNunes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zingano targets the head (88% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zingano
RND
Nunes
0/0R00/0
Zingano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Zingano · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Ronda RouseyRating 1.5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06