UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Featherweight
VS
67%
Topuria
33%
Jackson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Topuria
Topuria holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Jackson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Topuria has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Topuria has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Topuria
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+71"
29+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Topuria
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.3
40.5
77.5
Performance Avg
43.0
62
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
59
Topuria
Jackson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
43%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
18
Body
5
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
30Distance15
0Clinch1
1Ground0
Topuria
Jackson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Topuria
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
28
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Topuria
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
59
9-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Topuria
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Topuria
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
TopuriaJackson
Strike Zones
Topuria
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedJackson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Topuria targets the body (58% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Topuria absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Topuria
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Topuria · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Topuria · Last 5
Upcoming
Justin GaethjeUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01