Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Paris, France

5 Sept 2026

Heavyweight

64%

Pinto

36%

Spann

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 2 · 0:55

Mario Pinto

12 – 0

6'5"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 76

Ryan Spann

"Superman"

24 – 11

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"

CFR 42

★ Official Result

Mario PintowinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:55

def. Ryan Spann · UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Pinto

Pinto by TKO in round one — Spann must close distance against an equal-sized str…

→

Actual result

Pinto wins

KO/TKO · R2

Pre-fight analysis

An unbeaten heavyweight with a perfect chin rating against a veteran finisher whose durability score has fallen to eight.

Ryan Spann has won two in a row and the model has him at a 10.0 momentum score, the lowest of anyone on this card with a win on record. That contradiction is worth sitting with, because it explains the whole fight. Spann is 24-11 with sixteen recorded UFC appearances and a finish rate of 0.8 — a genuinely dangerous man who stopped Marcus Buchecha in the second round in April, submitted Lukasz Brz…

Pinto intel

Pinto (12-0) has three recorded UFC fights and won all of them — decisions over Felipe Franco in March, knockouts of Jhonata Diniz in October 2025 and Austen Lane in March 2025, the latter 39 seconds into round two. At 28 he carries perfect 100.0 ratings in both chin and momentum, though three fights is a thin foundation for them.

Spann intel

Spann (24-11) has won his last two, stopping Marcus Buchecha in April and submitting Lukasz Brzeski in July 2025, but was knocked out by Waldo Cortes Acosta in March 2025 and by Bogdan Guskov in April 2024. His 0.8 finish rate and 4.0 submission score are the standout offensive numbers here; his 8.0 chin rating is the standout warning.

Key angles

An 8.0 chin rating against an 8.67 striking score and 7.67 pressure

Spann's 4.0 submission score against a fighter with 0.0 recorded submission defence evidence

Identical frames — 195.6cm, 200.7cm reach, orthodox — so no range edge exists either way

Pinto's perfect 100.0 chin and momentum ratings rest on only three recorded fights

A 10.0 momentum score for a man who has won his last two

Risk flags

Pinto has never had to defend a takedown on record, and Spann has two first-round submissions in his last five

Three fights is not enough to trust a 74.0 composite; the ratings could be overstating a man who has not yet been troubled

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PintoSpann

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Pinto

Spann

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'5"

Height

6'5"

79"

Reach

79"

28+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Pinto

Spann

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

75.7

41.9

68.5

Performance Avg

53.3

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Pinto

Spann

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.5

/ 10

5.2

/ 10

8.3

Style: Pressure

7.4

4.0

Style: Volume

2.8

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

2Clinch0

9Ground0

Pinto

Spann

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

3.7

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

4.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Pinto

Spann

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.8 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/12 fights

Chin rating based on

17/35 fights

Pinto

Spann

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R2

W · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

W · Sub · R1

Pinto

Spann

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

80%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pinto

Spann

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

9.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.2

0.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.7

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

8.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.4

4.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.8

Pinto

Strike Zones

Spann

Pinto

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Spann

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Pinto targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pinto

RND

Spann

0/0R00/0

Pinto · Last 4

W · KO · R2

Ryan Spann

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Felipe Franco

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03

W · KO · R2

Jhonata Diniz

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

W · KO · R2

Austen Lane

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

Spann · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Mario Pinto

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09

W · KO · R2

Marcus Buchecha

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · Sub · R1

Lukasz Brzeski

Submission

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

L · KO · R2

Waldo Cortes Acosta

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

W · Sub · R1

Ovince Saint Preux

Submission

UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10

News & Media

Mario Pinto · Ryan Spann

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