METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Greenville, USA
22 Jun 2019
Middleweight
VS
70%
Holland
30%
Chirico
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kevin
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
2915
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
AD
Alessio Di Chirico
"Manzo"
137
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
Actual result
Holland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Holland is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Chirico has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HollandChirico
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Holland
Chirico
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
81"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Chirico
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
20.4
49.3
Performance Avg
39.3
44
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
25
Holland
Chirico
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.6
3.6
Style: Volume
4.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
7
Body
3
13
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holland
Chirico
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Chirico
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
36
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Holland
Chirico
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holland
Chirico
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Chirico
Striking4.3 / 5.7Volume3.6 / 4.7Grappling3.8 / 1.2Wrestling2.6 / 0.8Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Holland
Strike Zones
Chirico
Holland
Attacking
7HEAD7BODY13LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY7LEGS13 absorbed
Chirico
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY7LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD7BODY13LEGS27 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Chirico targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Chirico
0/0R00/0

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike Malott
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente Luque
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar Nelson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Chirico · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Roman Kopylov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin Buckley
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak Cummings
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud Muradov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Alessio Di Chirico
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