METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Greenville, USA
22 Jun 2019
Middleweight
VS
70%
Holland
30%
Chirico
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alessio Di Chirico · UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holland is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Chirico throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chirico has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandChirico
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Chirico
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
81"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Chirico
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
20.4
49.3
Performance Avg
39.3
44
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
25
Holland
Chirico
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
7
Body
3
13
Leg
7
RangeRange
26Distance13
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Holland
Chirico
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
6
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Chirico
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
36
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
11/20 fights
Holland
Chirico
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Holland
Chirico
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Chirico
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
HollandChirico
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedChirico
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Chirico absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Chirico targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Chirico
0/0R00/0
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Chirico · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Chirico · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R1
Joaquin BuckleyRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09