UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris
Jacksonville, USA
16 May 2020
Featherweight
VS
83%
Chikadze
17%
Rivera
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chikadze
Chikadze is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chikadze has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Rivera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Chikadze
Rivera
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'6"
74"+
Reach
67"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chikadze
Rivera
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.4
11.3
49.5
Performance Avg
28.3
38
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
33
Chikadze
Rivera
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.6
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
6
3
Body
5
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance13
1Clinch0
4Ground0
Chikadze
Rivera
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chikadze
Rivera
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Chikadze
Rivera
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chikadze
Rivera
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chikadze
Rivera
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ChikadzeRivera
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedRivera
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chikadze targets the head (68% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Rivera targets the head (46% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chikadze
RND
Rivera
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Rivera · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Andre EwellRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Ali AlQaisiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
