UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Rotterdam, Netherlands
2 Sept 2017
Welterweight
VS
65%
Till
35%
Velickovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Till
Till holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Velickovic has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Till has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Till's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Till
Velickovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
33+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Till
Velickovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
16.5
44.3
Performance Avg
38.5
38
Quality of Victory
38
35
Momentum Score
56
Till
Velickovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.8
49%
Strike Accuracy
31%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
9
1
Body
1
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
14Distance13
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Till
Velickovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Till
Velickovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/21 fights
Till
Velickovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Till
Velickovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Till
Velickovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
TillVelickovic
Strike Zones
Till
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedVelickovic
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Till targets the head (89% of attacks) — Velickovic absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Velickovic targets the head (69% of attacks) — Till absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Till
RND
Velickovic
0/0R00/0
Till · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Velickovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Till · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.9Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Sub · R3
Derek BrunsonRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 4.8Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · KO · R2
Jorge MasvidalRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
Velickovic · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Darren TillRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Sultan AlievRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Michael GravesDecision
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07