UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Lightweight
VS
30%
Tibau
70%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:32
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
5'10"71" reachSouthpaw42 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tibau's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tibau
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Tibau
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
36.8
43.2
Performance Avg
42.5
34
Quality of Victory
38
74
Momentum Score
35
Tibau
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.4
35%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Tibau
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tibau
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
28/47 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Tibau
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Tibau
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
38%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tibau
Johnson
Striking1.8 / 4.8Volume6.6 / 6.0Grappling3.6 / 1.5Wrestling2.5 / 1.1Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Tibau
Strike Zones
Johnson
Tibau
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tibau targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tibau
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Gleison Tibau · Michael Johnson
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