METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Minneapolis, USA
9 Aug 2008
Heavyweight
VS
66%
Lesnar
34%
Herring
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brock LesnarwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Heath Herring · UFC 87: Seek And Destroy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lesnar
→
Actual result
Lesnar wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lesnar holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Herring has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lesnar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.
Lesnar has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lesnar's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LesnarHerring
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lesnar
Herring
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
81"+
Reach
78"
49
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lesnar
Herring
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
11.9
69.0
Performance Avg
31.0
77
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
35
Lesnar
Herring
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
0.8
70%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
9
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
3Clinch5
10Ground0
Lesnar
Herring
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lesnar
Herring
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8 fights
Chin rating based on
5/44 fights
Lesnar
Herring
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lesnar
Herring
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lesnar
Herring
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
LesnarHerring
Strike Zones
Lesnar
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHerring
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lesnar targets the body (60% of attacks) — Herring absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Herring targets the body (60% of attacks) — Lesnar absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lesnar
RND
Herring
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lesnar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Herring · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lesnar · Last 5
Upcoming
Mark HuntUFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · KO · R1
Alistair OvereemRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Shane CarwinRating 5.1Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · KO · R2
Frank MirRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 100 · 2009-07
Herring · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brock LesnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 87: Seek And Destroy · 2008-08
W · Dec · R3
Cheick KongoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · Dec · R3
Brad ImesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jake O'BrienRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01