METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Middleweight
VS
47%
Theodorou
53%
Alvey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Elias TheodorouwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sam Alvey · UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvey
→
Actual result
Theodorou wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Theodorou at 47% vs Alvey at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alvey has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TheodorouAlvey
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Theodorou
Alvey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Theodorou
Alvey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
22.9
52.0
Performance Avg
44.3
38
Quality of Victory
45
80
Momentum Score
43
Theodorou
Alvey
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.5
7.5
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
6
Body
3
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
8Distance7
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Theodorou
Alvey
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Theodorou
Alvey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
24/51 fights
Theodorou
Alvey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
43
Current form
8-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
Theodorou
Alvey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Theodorou
Alvey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
TheodorouAlvey
Strike Zones
Theodorou
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedAlvey
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Theodorou targets the body (60% of attacks) — Alvey absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Alvey targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Theodorou absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Theodorou
RND
Alvey
0/0R00/0
Theodorou · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Alvey · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
Upcoming
Da Woon JungDecision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10