UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Welterweight
VS
52%
Medic
48%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
Uros
Uros Medic
"The Doctor"
13 – 3
6'1"71" reachSouthpaw33 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 72
Myktybek
Myktybek Orolbai
16 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak28 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Medic

This is a genuine toss-up — Medic at 52% vs Orolbai at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medic
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Medic
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
67.1
62.7
Performance Avg
59.0
58
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
92
Medic
Orolbai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.9
0.9
63%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Medic
Orolbai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Medic
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Medic
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
92
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Medic
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Medic
Orolbai
Striking10.0 / 3.7Volume1.4 / 4.9Grappling0.0 / 4.2Wrestling0.0 / 2.9Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure9.1 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Medic
Strike Zones
Orolbai
Medic
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Orolbai
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Orolbai targets the head (67% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Medic
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0

Medic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W2.7L5.2W6.0W4.4L5.1W2.5L5.6W6.0W6.0W2021-032023-072025-012026-02
WinLossTrend

Orolbai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0107.1W5.3W6.1L5.2W5.9W5.2W2023-112024-052024-102025-062025-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Medic · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Orolbai · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

News & Media

Uros Medic · Myktybek Orolbai
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