METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Welterweight
VS
52%
Medic
48%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
★ Official Result
Myktybek OrolbaiwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:12
def. Uros Medic · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Orolbai wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Medic at 52% vs Orolbai at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Medic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedicOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medic
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Medic
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
67.1
62.7
Performance Avg
59.0
58
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
92
Medic
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
0.9
63%
Strike Accuracy
47%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Medic
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Medic
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/18 fights
Medic
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
92
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Medic
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Orolbai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
9.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MedicOrolbai
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOrolbai
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Orolbai targets the head (67% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0
Medic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Orolbai · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · KO · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Orolbai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq MusayevRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Elves BrenerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05