METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Las Vegas, USA
18 Nov 2023
Welterweight
VS
55%
Medic
45%
Orolbai
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:12
★ Official Result
Myktybek OrolbaiwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:12
def. Uros Medic · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Medic
→
Actual result
Orolbai wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Medic at 55% vs Orolbai at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Medic has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Medic's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MedicOrolbai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Medic
Orolbai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
+74"
33
Age
+28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Medic
Orolbai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
59.0
64.7
Performance Avg
54.2
59
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
69
Medic
Orolbai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
3.4
/ 10
9.2
Style: Pressure
6.3
1.4
Style: Volume
4.6
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Medic
Orolbai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Medic
Orolbai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/18 fights
Medic
Orolbai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Medic
Orolbai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Medic
Orolbai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
9.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
1.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
MedicOrolbai
Strike Zones
Medic
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOrolbai
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Orolbai targets the head (67% of attacks) — Medic absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Medic
RND
Orolbai
0/0R00/0
Medic · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Daniel RodriguezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R1
Geoff NealKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Gilbert UrbinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Punahele SorianoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
Orolbai · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsSubmission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Sub · R1
Tofiq MusayevSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz RebeckiDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10