UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
Sydney, Australia
2 Mar 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
92%
Perosh
8%
Penner
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perosh
Perosh is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perosh has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 56 points.
Striking split: Penner throws more volume but Perosh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Perosh's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Penner has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Perosh
Penner
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
53
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Perosh
Penner
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
1.6
50.0
Performance Avg
0.0
56
Quality of Victory
0
46
Momentum Score
0
Perosh
Penner
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
30%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
4
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
2Clinch1
21Ground1
Perosh
Penner
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
3.0
4.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perosh
Penner
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Perosh
Penner
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Perosh
Penner
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perosh
Penner
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
PeroshPenner
Strike Zones
Perosh
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPenner
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perosh targets the head (96% of attacks) — Penner absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Penner targets the head (80% of attacks) — Perosh absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perosh
RND
Penner
0/0R00/0
Perosh · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Penner · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Perosh · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gian VillanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Sean O'ConnellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
W · Sub · R1
Guto InocenteRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
W · KO · R1
Vinny MagalhaesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
Penner · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Cody DonovanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03