METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Featherweight
VS
69%
Guida
31%
Tavares
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:39
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
TT
Thiago Tavares
21 – 7
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Thiago TavareswinsSubmissionR1 · 0:39
def. Clay Guida · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guida
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Guida holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Tavares has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GuidaTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guida
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Guida
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
18.0
40.7
Performance Avg
48.8
35
Quality of Victory
42
78
Momentum Score
81
Guida
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.9
Style: Volume
4.4
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Guida
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
5
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guida
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
8
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
18/28 fights
Guida
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Guida
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Tavares
Striking2.1 / 2.2Volume5.9 / 4.4Grappling3.7 / 5.0Wrestling2.6 / 3.5Submission2.8 / 5.0Pressure4.2 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Guida
Strike Zones
Tavares
Guida
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Tavares
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase Hooper
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa Garcia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott Holtzman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio Puelles
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Tavares · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dooho Choi
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Sub · R1
Clay Guida
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · KO · R3
Brian Ortega
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R1
Robert Peralta
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
W · Sub · R1
Justin Salas
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11

News & Media

Clay Guida · Thiago Tavares
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