UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
47%
Muhammad
53%
Garry
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Garry
This is a genuine toss-up — Muhammad at 47% vs Garry at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Garry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Muhammad
Garry
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+74"
37
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Muhammad
Garry
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.8
64.8
48.5
Performance Avg
57.1
31
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
100
Muhammad
Garry
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
12
1
Body
5
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
19Distance20
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Muhammad
Garry
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Muhammad
Garry
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
19 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/29 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Muhammad
Garry
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Muhammad
Garry
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
30%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Muhammad
Garry
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.4
MuhammadGarry
Strike Zones
Muhammad
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedGarry
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Muhammad targets the head (90% of attacks) — Garry absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Garry targets the head (48% of attacks) — Muhammad absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Muhammad
RND
Garry
0/0R00/0
Muhammad · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Garry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Muhammad · Last 5
Upcoming
Gabriel BonfimUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 7Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 4.7Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Garry · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Carlos PratesRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 7.6Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Michael PageRating 5.3Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Geoff NealRating 5.5Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02