UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum
Uniondale, USA
22 Jul 2017
Lightweight
VS
45%
Perez
55%
Wade
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wade
This is a genuine toss-up — Perez at 45% vs Wade at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Wade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Perez
Wade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Perez
Wade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
20.8
46.0
Performance Avg
50.5
60
Quality of Victory
37
22
Momentum Score
88
Perez
Wade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
5
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
1Clinch0
3Ground1
Perez
Wade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Perez
Wade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
96
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Perez
Wade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
88
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Perez
Wade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Perez
Wade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
PerezWade
Strike Zones
Perez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedWade
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Perez targets the body (56% of attacks) — Wade absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Wade targets the head (80% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Perez
RND
Wade
0/0R00/0
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Wade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Perez · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Chris WadeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Sam StoutRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Johnny CaseRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
Wade · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Frankie PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Sub · R1
Mehdi BaghdadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06