UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez
San Jose, USA
20 Apr 2013
Bantamweight
VS
71%
Dillashaw
29%
Viana
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:22
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dillashaw
Dillashaw is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Viana has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dillashaw
Viana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
67"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Viana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
14.8
62.3
Performance Avg
42.0
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
45
Dillashaw
Viana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
8
3
Body
1
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance8
1Clinch3
3Ground0
Dillashaw
Viana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Viana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Dillashaw
Viana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Dillashaw
Viana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Viana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
DillashawViana
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedViana
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (76% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Viana targets the head (73% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Viana
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Viana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Guido CannettiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramiro HernandezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
TJ DillashawRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez · 2013-04
W · KO · R1
Reuben DuranRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12