The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
89%
Gruetzemacher
11%
Lloveras
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gruetzemacher
Gruetzemacher is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gruetzemacher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Gruetzemacher has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
39+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
—
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
2.7
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.3
59%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
6
Body
6
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
13Clinch5
0Ground0
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
1/29 fights
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GruetzemacherLloveras
Strike Zones
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedLloveras
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (66% of attacks) — Lloveras absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Lloveras targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gruetzemacher
RND
Lloveras
0/0R00/0
Gruetzemacher · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Gruetzemacher · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 4.9Submission
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W · Dec · R3
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L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
W · KO · R2
Joe LauzonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · Sub · R3
Davi RamosRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
Lloveras · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12