METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Las Vegas, USA
11 Dec 2015
Lightweight
VS
89%
Gruetzemacher
11%
Lloveras
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris GruetzemacherwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Abner Lloveras · The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gruetzemacher
→
Actual result
Gruetzemacher wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gruetzemacher is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gruetzemacher has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Risk flags
Gruetzemacher's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GruetzemacherLloveras
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
40+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
—
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
2.7
38.1
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
41
Momentum Score
0
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
0.0
6.2
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
11
6
Body
6
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
16Distance14
13Clinch5
0Ground0
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
1/29 fights
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
0
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gruetzemacher
Lloveras
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GruetzemacherLloveras
Strike Zones
Gruetzemacher
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedLloveras
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gruetzemacher targets the head (66% of attacks) — Lloveras absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Lloveras targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gruetzemacher absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gruetzemacher
RND
Lloveras
0/0R00/0
Gruetzemacher · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Claudio PuellesSubmission
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Lloveras · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Chris GruetzemacherDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12