UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson
Stockholm, Sweden
24 Jan 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
76%
Krylov
24%
Nedkov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krylov
Krylov is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nedkov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nedkov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Krylov
Nedkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
71"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Krylov
Nedkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
18.9
52.7
Performance Avg
49.3
50
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Krylov
Nedkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.8
60%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
4
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
2Clinch0
9Ground0
Krylov
Nedkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Nedkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Krylov
Nedkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Krylov
Nedkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
100%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Krylov
Nedkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
KrylovNedkov
Strike Zones
Krylov
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedNedkov
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (85% of attacks) — Nedkov absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Nedkov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Krylov
RND
Nedkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Nedkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
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W · KO · R3
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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
Nedkov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7Submission
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R2
Tom WatsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
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Upcoming
Thiago SilvaUFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
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