Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Las Vegas, USA

20 Jun 2026

Women's Bantamweight

40%

Rosa

60%

Santos

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Karol Rosa

19 – 7

5'5"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 45

Luana Santos

10 – 2

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'6"

CFR 67

★ Official Result

Luana SantoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Karol Rosa · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Santos

Luana Santos by decision. She outworks Rosa over three rounds in a clear if not …

→

Actual result

Santos wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Brazil's Rosa defends turf against a rising compatriot with better recent form.

Luana Santos arrives at perfect momentum and a CFR that is 20 points ahead of Rosa. Her 10-2 record and 60% finish rate show a finisher who has been getting better with each fight, while Rosa (19-7) has been fighting at this level for years without threatening the title picture. This matchup looks like a potential coming-out party for Santos against a familiar name.

Rosa intel

Rosa is experienced and durable (chin 92) but her CFR and 0% finish rate suggest she fights for decisions rather than finishes. She will need to outpoint Santos.

Santos intel

Santos at 100 momentum is arriving at the peak of her powers. Her balanced striking (3.67) and grappling (4.16) create multiple threats.

Key angles

Santos's mixed game vs Rosa's survival instincts

Whether Santos can secure early damage to disrupt Rosa's point-fighting rhythm

Risk flags

Rosa's experience and championship-level composure could frustrate Santos's finishing attempts

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RosaSantos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rosa

Santos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"

Height

+5'6"

67"

Reach

67"

Age

+26

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rosa

Santos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

44.5

67.3

39.6

Performance Avg

58.1

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Rosa

Santos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

3.4

/ 10

1.9

Style: Pressure

6.1

9.2

Style: Volume

5.7

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

1Distance0

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Rosa

Santos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rosa

Santos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

13/26 fights

Chin rating based on

7/12 fights

Rosa

Santos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Rosa

Santos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa

Santos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.4

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.9

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

1.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.1

9.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

5.7

Rosa

Strike Zones

Santos

Rosa

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Santos

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa

RND

Santos

0/0R00/0

Rosa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Luana Santos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Nora Cornolle

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Ailin Perez

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Dec · R3

Pannie Kianzad

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Irene Aldana

Decision

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Santos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Karol Rosa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Melissa Croden

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

W · Sub · R2

Tainara Lisboa

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Casey O'Neill

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

W · Sub · R1

Mariya Agapova

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Karol Rosa · Luana Santos

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