METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Lightweight
VS
89%
Florian
11%
Mishima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:57
★ Official Result
Kenny FlorianwinsSubmissionR3 · 3:57
def. Dokonjonosuke Mishima · UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Florian
→
Actual result
Florian wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Florian is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Florian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FlorianMishima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Florian
Mishima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
74"
Reach
50+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Florian
Mishima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
2.1
55.4
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
28
Momentum Score
0
Florian
Mishima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
33%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
1Clinch1
10Ground1
Florian
Mishima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Florian
Mishima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/28 fights
Florian
Mishima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Florian
Mishima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Mishima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
FlorianMishima
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMishima
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mishima absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mishima targets the head (50% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Mishima
0/0R00/0
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Mishima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
Mishima · Last 2
L · Sub · R3
Kenny FlorianRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Sub · R1
Joe StevensonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 65: Bad Intentions · 2006-11