UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Bantamweight
VS
21%
Ishihara
79%
Kang
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kang
Kang is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kang has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ishihara's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ishihara
Kang
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+73"
34+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ishihara
Kang
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
53.8
43.0
Performance Avg
47.6
47
Quality of Victory
38
13
Momentum Score
96
Ishihara
Kang
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
1
Body
7
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance15
6Clinch11
0Ground0
Ishihara
Kang
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ishihara
Kang
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Ishihara
Kang
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
96
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Ishihara
Kang
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ishihara
Kang
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
IshiharaKang
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedKang
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ishihara targets the head (71% of attacks) — Kang absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Kang targets the head (73% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ishihara
RND
Kang
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ishihara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Kang · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Ishihara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Kang · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Muin GafurovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
W · Sub · R1
Cristian QuinonezRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Batgerel DanaaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
