UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
Manchester, United Kingdom
26 Oct 2013
Lightweight
VS
49%
Pearson
51%
Guillard
Win Probability
RP
Ross Pearson
"The Real Deal"
20 – 16
5'8"69" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
Striker43 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guillard

This is a genuine toss-up — Pearson at 49% vs Guillard at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Guillard throws more volume but Pearson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pearson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Guillard has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pearson
Guillard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pearson
Guillard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
17.7
44.3
Performance Avg
49.7
42
Quality of Victory
45
89
Momentum Score
73
Pearson
Guillard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
41%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
8
1
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Pearson
Guillard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pearson
Guillard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
22/50 fights
Pearson
Guillard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
73
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pearson
Guillard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
58%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pearson
Guillard
Striking4.3 / 7.0Volume5.6 / 3.8Grappling1.4 / 0.8Wrestling1.0 / 0.6Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
Pearson
Strike Zones
Guillard
Pearson
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Guillard
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pearson targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Guillard targets the head (89% of attacks) — Pearson absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pearson
RND
Guillard
0/0R00/0

Pearson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W6.0L4.5W3.3L5.2W5.2W5.5L5.2W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.5L3.6L4.5W5.5L1.5L2009-062012-062015-072017-062019-03
WinLossTrend

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Pearson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Desmond GreenRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
John MakdessiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

News & Media

Ross Pearson · Melvin Guillard
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