UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Wineland
56%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
This is a genuine toss-up — Wineland at 44% vs Perez at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wineland's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wineland
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
67"
41
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wineland
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
35.4
45.0
Performance Avg
56.3
50
Quality of Victory
49
78
Momentum Score
100
Wineland
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.9
32%
Strike Accuracy
40%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
13
8
Body
1
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance18
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Wineland
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wineland
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/40 fights
Chin rating based on
13/32 fights
Wineland
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Wineland
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wineland
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
WinelandPerez
Strike Zones
Wineland
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedPerez
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wineland targets the head (50% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the head (72% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 72% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wineland
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Wineland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Wineland · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Perez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · Sub · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Eddie WinelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07