UFC 19: Ultimate Young Guns
Bay St. Louis, USA
5 Mar 1999
Middleweight
VS
46%
Horn
54%
Liddell
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 12:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Liddell
This is a genuine toss-up — Horn at 46% vs Liddell at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Liddell throws more volume but Horn connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Horn's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Liddell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Horn
Liddell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
50+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Horn
Liddell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
22.1
48.1
Performance Avg
61.2
49
Quality of Victory
56
78
Momentum Score
100
Horn
Liddell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.7
44%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
12
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
3Clinch1
0Ground8
Horn
Liddell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.9
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Horn
Liddell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/113 fights
Chin rating based on
23/29 fights
Horn
Liddell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Horn
Liddell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
56%
1
KO / TKO Wins
9
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Horn
Liddell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.0
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.9
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
HornLiddell
Strike Zones
Horn
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLiddell
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Horn targets the body (50% of attacks) — Liddell absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Liddell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Horn
RND
Liddell
0/0R00/0
Horn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Liddell · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Horn · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
Liddell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Rich FranklinRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
W · Dec · R3
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5Decision
UFC 76: Knockout · 2007-09