UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort
Dallas, USA
19 Sept 2009
Lightweight
VS
49%
Griffin
51%
Franca
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:26
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Franca
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 49% vs Franca at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin
Franca
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
+71"
42+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Franca
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
17.0
42.3
Performance Avg
46.8
32
Quality of Victory
42
75
Momentum Score
43
Griffin
Franca
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
3
1
Body
0
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
25Distance7
2Clinch1
13Ground0
Griffin
Franca
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Franca
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
11/41 fights
Griffin
Franca
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
43
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Griffin
Franca
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Franca
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
GriffinFranca
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFranca
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the head (70% of attacks) — Franca absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Franca targets the legs (63% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Franca
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Franca · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Franca · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tyson GriffinRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Marcus AurelioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Frankie EdgarRating 5.5Decision
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · Dec · R5
Sean SherkRating 5.5Decision
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · KO · R2
Spencer FisherRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01