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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Las Vegas, USA
5 Nov 2022
Welterweight
VS
47%
Magny
53%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:33
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
6'3"80" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Daniel
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 53
★ Official Result
Neil MagnywinsSubmissionR3 · 3:33
def. Daniel Rodriguez · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rodriguez
→
Actual result
Magny wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Magny at 47% vs Rodriguez at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Magny connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rodriguez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MagnyRodriguez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Magny
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
80"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Magny
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
53.3
47.4
Performance Avg
50.7
36
Quality of Victory
37
75
Momentum Score
70
Magny
Rodriguez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
2
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Magny
Rodriguez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Magny
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
62
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
6
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
14/25 fights
Magny
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
70
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Magny
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
14
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Magny
Rodriguez
Striking4.2 / 4.4Volume6.0 / 6.2Grappling2.4 / 2.2Wrestling1.7 / 1.6Submission1.3 / 1.0Pressure4.9 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Magny
Strike Zones
Rodriguez
Magny
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 absorbed
Rodriguez
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY2LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (75% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Rodriguez targets the head (55% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Magny
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Rodriguez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.3W5.3W5.0W5.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.3W4.6L3.0L5.8L4.5W6.0W5.1W2020-022021-042022-112025-052025-07
WinLossTrend

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

Rodriguez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Ian Machado GarryRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05

News & Media

Neil Magny · Daniel Rodriguez
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