UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2
Orlando, USA
19 Dec 2015
Featherweight
VS
61%
Miller
39%
Alers
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Alers has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Striking split: Miller throws more volume but Alers connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller
Alers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Alers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
11.3
49.0
Performance Avg
28.3
47
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
40
Miller
Alers
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
31%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
2
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance6
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Alers
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Alers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Miller
Alers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Miller
Alers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Alers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MillerAlers
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedAlers
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alers absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Alers targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Alers
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Alers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Sub · R2
Sam SiciliaRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
Alers · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jason KnightRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
Upcoming
Cole MillerUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Alan OmerRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04