UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
14 Jan 2012
Welterweight
VS
57%
Silva
43%
Prater
Win Probability
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
CP
Carlo Prater
"Neo"
31 – 18
Well-Rounded2-fight slide44 yrsSwitch72" reach5'11"
CFR 13

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 57% vs Prater at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Prater
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Silva
Prater
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
13.4
51.3
Performance Avg
31.3
54
Quality of Victory
30
46
Momentum Score
52
Silva
Prater
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
57%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Silva
Prater
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
7.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Prater
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
3/49 fights
Silva
Prater
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R1
Silva
Prater
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Prater
Striking3.8 / 0.7Volume0.9 / 0.7Grappling5.7 / 0.0Wrestling4.0 / 0.0Submission7.1 / 0.0Pressure8.4 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Silva
Strike Zones
Prater
Silva
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Prater
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (88% of attacks) — Prater absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Prater
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W3.1L5.0W5.0W6.1L2.8L5.5W2.8L5.5L2011-082013-062014-122016-092017-12
WinLossTrend

Prater · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.0W5.5L5.5L2012-012012-052012-10
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Prater · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Marcus LeVesseurRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
TJ GrantRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
W · R1
Erick SilvaRating 4
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01

News & Media

Erick Silva · Carlo Prater
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