UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Welterweight
VS
50%
Usman
50%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kamaru
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
21 – 4
6'0"76" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 58

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 50% vs Strickland at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Usman
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
39
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
57.7
61.2
Performance Avg
50.9
46
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
100
Usman
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
16
8
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance16
0Clinch1
8Ground0
Usman
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Usman
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Usman
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Usman
Strickland
Striking4.2 / 4.2Volume7.2 / 6.8Grappling2.1 / 2.0Wrestling1.5 / 1.4Submission0.6 / 0.6Pressure4.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Usman
Strike Zones
Strickland
Usman
Attacking
22HEAD8BODY7LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Strickland
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD8BODY7LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (94% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Usman
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.6W4.5W4.7W5.6W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.8W4.5W5.5W5.1W5.8W5.1L6.6L7.4L5.7W2015-072017-092019-122022-082025-06
WinLossTrend

Strickland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5W4.5W6.6L4.7W2.0L5.2W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.5W5.4W3.6L6.5L5.9W5.9W5.9W7.4L5.5W7.4L6.7W6.4W2014-032017-112022-022024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

Strickland · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Kamaru Usman · Sean Strickland
← Back to fights