METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Welterweight
VS
50%
Usman
50%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sean Strickland · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Usman at 50% vs Strickland at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanStrickland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
39
Age
+35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
57.7
61.2
Performance Avg
50.9
46
Quality of Victory
37
55
Momentum Score
100
Usman
Strickland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
16
8
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
29Distance16
0Clinch1
8Ground0
Usman
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Usman
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Usman
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
UsmanStrickland
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (94% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01