METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Jacksonville, USA
13 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
59%
Sherman
41%
Villanueva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:49
★ Official Result
Chase ShermanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:49
def. Ike Villanueva · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sherman
→
Actual result
Sherman wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sherman at 59% vs Villanueva at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sherman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villanueva has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShermanVillanueva
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sherman
Villanueva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
73"
36+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sherman
Villanueva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.1
20.7
38.4
Performance Avg
39.7
46
Quality of Victory
55
46
Momentum Score
13
Sherman
Villanueva
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
0.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Sherman
Villanueva
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sherman
Villanueva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Sherman
Villanueva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
13
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · R1
Sherman
Villanueva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sherman
Villanueva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
ShermanVillanueva
Strike Zones
Sherman
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedVillanueva
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sherman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Villanueva absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Villanueva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sherman
RND
Villanueva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Villanueva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Villanueva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
L · KO · R1
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · KO · R2
Marcin PrachnioRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Vinicius MoreiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · R1
Jordan WrightRating 4UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08