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UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Krylov
48%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
3111
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
165
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'4"
CFR 56
★ Official Result
Dominick ReyeswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:24
def. Nikita Krylov · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
Actual result
Reyes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 52% vs Reyes at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
KrylovReyes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Krylov
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Krylov
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
55.7
51.6
Performance Avg
56.3
50
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
71
Krylov
Reyes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.3
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
6.9
2.4
Style: Volume
3.7
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Krylov
Reyes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Krylov
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
16/21 fights
Krylov
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Krylov
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Reyes
Striking5.3 / 7.3Volume2.4 / 3.7Grappling3.7 / 1.5Wrestling2.6 / 1.1Submission4.2 / 1.0Pressure7.5 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Krylov
Strike Zones
Reyes
Krylov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Reyes
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (63% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
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UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R3
Robert Whittaker
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas Bukauskas
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan Guskov
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick Reyes
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

Reyes · Last 5

Upcoming
Azamat Murzakanov
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R3
Johnny Walker
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos Ulberg
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita Krylov
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony Smith
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Dominick Reyes
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