UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Krylov
48%
Reyes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:24
Nikita
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
31 – 11
6'3"77" reachOrthodox34 yrsPressure Fighter
CFR 60
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
Striker36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Krylov

This is a genuine toss-up — Krylov at 52% vs Reyes at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Krylov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Krylov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reyes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Krylov
Reyes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
77"
Reach
77"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Krylov
Reyes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.8
55.7
52.7
Performance Avg
56.3
50
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
71
Krylov
Reyes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
55%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Krylov
Reyes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Krylov
Reyes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/42 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Krylov
Reyes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
71
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Krylov
Reyes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
83%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
5
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Krylov
Reyes
Striking5.3 / 7.3Volume2.5 / 3.7Grappling3.7 / 1.5Wrestling2.6 / 1.1Submission4.2 / 1.0Pressure7.5 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Krylov
Strike Zones
Reyes
Krylov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Reyes
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Krylov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Reyes targets the head (63% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Krylov
RND
Reyes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Krylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L5.0W2.1L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W1.5L3.3L5.8W5.9L5.3W7.0L2.2L5.0W5.3W5.4W2.5L3.5L6.3W2013-082016-052020-032025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W6.0W5.1W5.3W5.8W7.3L2.7L3.8L1.9L6.4W6.4W6.2W3.4L5.3W2017-062019-032021-052025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Krylov · Last 5

Upcoming
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UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

Reyes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
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L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Nikita Krylov · Dominick Reyes
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